Modeling the past to save the future.

Last update: November 18, 2022

About This Site:

Big Pic Explorer is a repository for the writing and research of Bradley Jarvis concerning the future of humanity. Much of it includes attempts to identify and simply model basic global variables underlying history with the goal of determining how people's values are reflected in their impact on the world and what would be required to extend our survival for as long and possible.

The site list provides useful links to current and archive pages.

Research Overview and Status:

Research, embodied by a model called Timelines that is based on historical trends, has shown that humanity's behaviors, wellbeing and longevity are deeply tied to, and critically limited by, the supply of resources that can be used to meet basic needs as found in natural ecosystems. We are rapidly exhausting those resources; and if we are to survive, we must stop consuming more while working to increase their amount.
ABOVE: People consume resources for their basic needs that is embodied in habitat maintained and consumed by other species for their needs. People consume more than that, converting it into forms that are useless for meeting basic needs (waste) and effectively reducing the amount of habitat. In this simulation derived from historical data, habitat is projected to be completely replaced by waste in 2041, accompanied by extinction of humans and the species we depend on.

See also: News Archive and Commentary Archive

Updates and Blogs:


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