Modeling the past to save the future.

Click HERE for desktop version. Last update: June 4, 2019.

ABOVE: Projected values of global variables as a function of the ratio of minimum resources consumed by people to those consumed by other species. See Timelines Model (V3).

About This Site:

Big Pic Explorer is a repository for the writing and research of Bradley Jarvis concerning the future of humanity. Much of it includes attempts to identify and simply model basic global variables underlying history with the goal of determining what would be required to extend our survival for as long and possible.

The site list provides useful links to current and archive pages.

 Subscribe to the RSS feed for updates to this and related sites.

Research Overview and Status:

Timelines is the latest and most robust of six models developed over more than a decade. The model includes projections over time for population, consumption (ecological footprint), life expectancy, happiness, age distribution, and economy (Gross World Product, wealth) as totals for the global population and as distributions within the population. Development and testing is continuing through application to historical and current events.

A new version simulates populations using random "regions" rather than normal statistical distributions, with most of the same underlying variable relationships as the previous version.

Commentary: "Unacceptable Options"

See also: News Archive and Commentary Archive

Updates and Latest Blog Posts:

Related Writing:

Help support my work...

Become a Patron or buy a book or music today!

© Copyright 2018-2019 Bradley Jarvis. All rights reserved.