Modeling the past to save the future.

Last update: February 11, 2023

About This Site:

Big Pic Explorer is a repository for the writing and research of Bradley Jarvis concerning the future of humanity. Much of it includes attempts to identify and simply model basic global variables underlying history with the goal of determining how people's values are reflected in their impact on the world and what would be required to extend our survival for as long and possible.

The site list provides useful links to current and archive pages.

Research Overview and Status:

Research, embodied by a model called Timelines that is based on historical trends, has shown that humanity's behaviors, wellbeing and longevity are deeply tied to, and critically limited by, the supply of resources that can be used to meet basic needs as found in natural ecosystems. We are rapidly exhausting those resources; and if we are to survive, we must stop consuming more while working to increase their amount.
ABOVE: Population and happiness are two of the variables simulated by the Timelines model. This animation shows how they are projected to vary over time for the world based on their observed relationship to habitat density (seen as depth here).

See also: News Archive and Commentary Archive

Updates and Blogs:


Help support my work... Become a patron or buy a book today!

© Copyright 2018-2023 Bradley Jarvis. All rights reserved.