Limits

The following limits and conditions may be reached according the Half-Earth Hypothesis (see Priority Interdependencies for variable definitions):

Range ID Range Conditions
A Fe + FeMin < 1
  • P < 1 / ( F + Fmin)
  • F < ( 1 - P * Fmin ) / P
B 1 <= Fe + FeMin < FeTotal - FeMin
  • P < FeTotal  / ( F + 2 * Fmin )
  • F < FeTotal / P - 2 * Fmin
C FeTotal - FeMin < Fe + FeMin < FeTotal
  • P < FeTotal / ( F + Fmin )
  • F < ( FeTotal - P * Fmin ) / P
D Fe = FeTotal
  • P = FeTotal / F
  • F = FeTotal / P

Historically it appears that humanity's population P and footprint F are converging toward the upper limit of range C. This is seen below in a graph of progress toward each upper limit for each of the years 1950-2015. Dotted lines are curve-fits.

 

Progress

 

The following graph shows how ecological resources are distributed over time in terms of global footprint, and using the terminology of the Half-Earth hypothesis.

Note:

  • Supporters and producers are each equal to FeMin
  • The upper limit of range A  ("limit A") is reached when creations and people (Fe) and supporters (FeMin) together equal 1 Earth/year
  • Limit B is reached when there are no remaining resources
  • Limit C is reached when there are no producers (producers equal FeMin)
  • Limit D is reached when there are no more supporters
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