About This Site:

Big Pic Explorer is a repository for the writing and research of Bradley Jarvis concerning the future of humanity. Much of it includes attempts to identify and simply model basic global variables underlying history with the goal of determining what would be required to extend our survival for as long and possible.

The site list provides useful links to current and archive pages.

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Research Overview and Status (July 11, 2019):

Timelines is the latest and most robust of six models developed over more than a decade. The model includes projections over time for population, consumption (ecological footprint), life expectancy, happiness, age distribution, and economy (Gross World Product, wealth) as totals for the global population and as distributions within the population. Development and testing is continuing through application to historical and current events.

Commentary: "Life and Death"

See also: News Archive and Commentary Archive

Updates and Latest Blog Posts:

Image of Note:

World population change modeled as the interaction between groups for the Green simulation (best fit to historical data). Group 1 becomes the Mixed group after merging with virtual Group 2. The Summed group is likely aspirational, but impossible to achieve given the real limit in capacity (total resources).

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